Didi in the News

Didi Chuxing (a Udacity partner, ahem) has been in the news on a few fronts this week, and will probably show up a few more times with the upcoming Beijing Motor Show this week.

On the more traditional, human-driven, ride-hailing front, Didi is moving into Mexico, with a new office in Toluca. This seems ever-so-close to the lucrative US market, currently dominated by Uber and Lyft.

In the world of self-driving cars, Didi recently made two big announcements: they are developing “purpose-built” autonomous vehicles, and they are forming the Didi Auto Alliance (“D-Alliance”) to “ develop a full-capacity vehicle operator platform”.

Building a self-driving car from scratch seems like a pretty big deal to me. Tesla is famously struggling with the challenges of manufacturing a car, and even automotive manufacturers like GM/Cruise are basically re-purposing existing vehicles into self-driving cars.

By contrast, Didi believes:

“…current mainstream cars are heavily “overspecced” — packed with equipment most drivers do not need such as engines and other technologies that allow them to go as fast a 150 mph (250 kmph).

Performance levels for ride-hailing and car-sharing service vehicles could be dialled down significantly, meaning they would not have to be so aerodynamic. Cars designed to carry just one or two people at a time to work or the shops could therefore be “boxier”, with fewer seats and more space for luggage.”

I’m excited to see what Didi comes up with for its “purpose-built” self-driving cars. Big risk, big reward.

Comparing Udacity’s Self-Driving Car Programs

Which of Udacity’s two Self-Driving Car programs is right for you? This post will show you how to make the right choice.

Udacity has two excellent Nanodegree Programs for aspiring self-driving car engineers: the Self-Driving Car Engineer Nanodegree program, and the Intro to Self-Driving Cars Nanodegree program.

Which one is right for you?

To try and answer this question, I’ll begin with a story. In October of 2016, Udacity welcomed the first class of students into our Self-Driving Car Engineer Nanodegree program. Since that historic debut, we have been delighted to enroll over 11,000 students around the world in this program!

Along the way, we learned that while people across the globe were thrilled at the prospect of being able to work on autonomous vehicles, not all of them were equipped to do so—many of them needed additional training to get ready for the rigors and challenges of our curriculum.

In order to provide a viable point-of-entry for these eager learners, we built the Intro to Self-Driving Cars Nanodegree Program, and welcomed the first class of students at the end of 2017. This “Intro” program prepares students with the fundamentals in Python, C++, calculus, linear algebra, statistics, and physics that are necessary to become a Self-Driving Car Engineer.

Both Nanodegree programs are paths to a career in the self-driving car field, but the goals of each program are distinct, as are the skills one learns.

The Self-Driving Car Engineer (SDC) Nanodegree program is an advanced program in which students write programs in Python and C++, and learn new frameworks like ROS and TensorFlow. Students entering SDC should be able to write programs from scratch, and should be comfortable with both calculus and linear algebra. SDC does not require solving differential equations by hand, but does require that students be comfortable interpreting mathematical notation and translating it into code.

The Intro to Self-Driving Cars (iSDC) Nanodegree program is an intermediate program that requires entering students to have only minimal programming and math knowledge. Students entering iSDC should be comfortable reading and modifying code in at least one language (Python helps, since that is first language the program uses). Entering students should also be comfortable with high-school algebra. From there, iSDC teaches the trigonometry, calculus, linear algebra, statistics, and physics that are necessary to succeed in the advanced SDC program.

iSDC does not require an application to enroll, and everybody is welcome. However, students with no programming experience at all might consider starting their journey with Udacity’s Intro to Programming Nanodegree program, and then proceeding on to Intro to Self-Driving Cars. A slightly more mathematical (and more challenging) alternative first step would be Udacity’s Data Analyst Nanodegree Program.

Whether you are ready for the Self-Driving Car Engineer Nanodegree program today or feel like you should cover the topics in Intro to Self-Driving Cars first, Udacity is the place to start on the road to becoming a Self-Driving Car Engineer. See you in the classroom!

Driverless Testing in California

The first Monday in April, California opened its doors to autonomous vehicles with no safety driver — truly “driverless” cars.

Only one company, that has not been named, expressed interest.

A few weeks later, a second company applied for a driverless permit, Waymo.

Waymo is working with a number of California cities to set up driverless tests, several of which appear quite enthusiastic to be working with the leader in self-driving cars.

“Autonomous vehicle technology “is going to be crucial in helping the Silicon Valley reach its safety and transportation goals,” said Los Altos Councilwoman Jeannie Bruins.

“Waymo has done extensive vehicle testing on our local streets with a good safety record,” Mountain View City Manager Dan Rich, said in a statement. He commended the company for committing to “transparency and information sharing.”

In Sunnyvale, Mayor Glenn Hendricks likewise said he looks forward to working with Waymo.”

One angle I found interesting is how Waymo will handle disengagements:

“If one of the cars encounters something it doesn’t understand, such as complicated road construction, the car will contact Waymo for help recognizing the situation. After human testers give it feedback, the car will then decide how to navigate the situation.”

I wonder what it means for a remote “human tester” to “give feedback” to a Waymo vehicle.

And don’t forget, from my old colleague Oliver Cameron:

Self-Driving Regulation in China

China recently released some basic guidelines for self-driving car development. As an American, I don’t always fully comprehend the line in China between private companies and the government. How much guidance to self-driving car developers in China get from published laws and regulations, and how much comes from internal communication with the relevant government agencies?

Here are the public guidelines:

“The rules lay out requirements that vehicles must first be tested in non-public zones, that road tests can only be on designated streets and that a qualified person must always sit in the driver’s position, ready to take over control.”

As best I can tell from English translations, that is the extent of the rules. Presumably there must be more, but I don’t know if the rest is available in Chinese, or if you have to be in the industry there and know the right people to figure it out.

Tesla’s Travails

I’m a fan of Tesla, but it has been a rough month for the company.

Crash

In March, a Tesla Model X on Autopilot ran into a concrete barrier on Highway 85 in Mountain View, California. The driver was killed and the car exploded. Tesla wrote, “We have never seen this level of damage to a Model X in any other crash.”

Source: CNN

Tesla later wrote:

“In the US, there is one automotive fatality every 86 million miles across all vehicles from all manufacturers. For Tesla, there is one fatality, including known pedestrian fatalities, every 320 million miles in vehicles equipped with Autopilot hardware. If you are driving a Tesla equipped with Autopilot hardware, you are 3.7 times less likely to be involved in a fatal accident.”

Statistics are rarely as compelling as stories, especially true stories, but I find these statistics reassuring. And, as with the Florida Autopilot crash in 2016, it makes a big difference that the only fatality here was the driver of the Tesla, not a member of the general public.

Regulation

In the aftermath of the crash, Tesla has gotten into a public disagreement with the National Transportation Safety Board, the US government agency running the main investigation. Apparently the argument is about how quickly to draw conclusions — Tesla wants to move faster than the NTSB does.

Blog

Tesla’s blog for the last month has been on the defensive. The three most recent posts are titled, “What We Know About Last Week’s Accident”, “An Update on Last Week’s Accident”, and “A Not So Revealing Story”.

That last post involves Tesla pushing back against, “an extremist organization working directly with union supporters to create a calculated disinformation campaign against Tesla.” Tesla claims it is building the “safest factory on earth”, whereas Reveal claims, “Tesla has failed to report some of its serious injuries on legally mandated reports, making the company’s injury numbers look better than they actually are.”

I have no idea who to believe in this disagreement. But at the very least it has got to be a grind to be running PR for Tesla right now, and probably for a lot of other employees, as well.

Production

Tim Higgins of the Wall Street Journal, who has been on top of the Tesla beat for quite a while, reported last week that Tesla had temporarily shut down Model 3 production. Tesla has cracked 2,000 Model 3 units per week, but has gotten nowhere near the 5,000 per week it targeted for last year.

Higgins subsequently fielded an unprompted confession from Elon Musk on Twitter:

“Humans are underrated,” is a pretty amazing quote, especially coming from Musk.

Stock

Through it all, Tesla’s stock has mostly held.

Valuation is down 25% from the highs of last summer, but this month has been pretty steady, except for a big dip and bounce-back right after the accident.

Tesla, for a time America’s most valuable car company, is now in 2nd place, behind General Motors.

But the fact that a month like this hasn’t sent investors running for the exits is a testament to the quality of the company and its cars.

Did I mention one other thing that happened this month? Popular Mechanics declared the Model 3 its Car of the Year.

The Best and Worst Human Drivers

“Even when race car drivers leave the mayhem of the track, their skill doesn’t outweigh their appetite for risk: a study from the 1970s found that racing drivers from the Sports Car Club of America had a higher crash rate on public roads than other drivers from the same state of the same age and sex.”

Compare that to this:

“At the opposite end of the spectrum are those who use cautious driving styles to make up for their weak skills. Some elderly drivers who score poorly on a driving test nevertheless manage to drive crash-free by actively compensating for their deteriorating abilities, according to a Belgian study from 2000. They drive more slowly and avoid tailgating, leaving long safety gaps behind vehicles they’re following; they also plan their trips to avoid complex traffic or other challenging situations.”

Of course, this has implications for self-driving technology:

“Some of the more dramatic estimates have imagined quintupling the volume of traffic flowing down a road. But a short “headway” — the gap between one vehicle and the one just ahead — brings a higher crash risk than a long headway.”

From a thought-provoking essay by Antonio Loro.

Supposedly the reason the Google Self-Driving Car Project kept its vehicles tooling around Mountain View at 25mph for years is that a collision at 25mph results in something like a 20% chance of a human fatality. At 45mph, the likelihood of fatality flips, and becomes something like 80%. A 2015 report hints at this, although it is more vague about the statistics.

Alibaba is Developing Self-Driving Cars

Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba is building “self-driving technology”, according to the MIT Technology Review:

Alibaba says it has bigger ambitions than just robotic taxis. In June 2016, the company launched an AI-powered “city brain” system in Hangzhou, where it’s headquartered, to crunch data from mapping apps and increase traffic efficiency. Simon Hu, the president of Alibaba Cloud, says the firm’s ultimate goal is to produce the kind of autonomous driving that uses such data to help integrate transportation into urban infrastructure.

The common analogy is that Baidu is the Google of China, Tencent is the Facebook of China, Didi is the Uber of China, and Alibaba is the Amazon of China.

This announcement puts Baidu, Didi, and Alibaba all in the self-driving car race.

Visiting Apollo

Talking Self-Driving Cars with Baidu’s Apollo team in China, and visiting Udacity’s offices in Shanghai and Beijing!

This past week I had the pleasure of visiting China for the first time in 20 years! I spent a few days working with colleagues at Udacity’s office in Shanghai, and followed that with several days at Udacity’s Beijing office. I was also able to take in some additional Beijing-based events. It was a whirlwind tour, and I loved it!

My traveling group was hosted by the terrific Apollo team at Baidu. Baidu is China’s largest search engine company, and one of the largest Internet companies in the world. And Udacity is building a free self-driving car course with them!

“Together with Baidu, we look forward to popularizing the Apollo system, and to giving everyone the opportunity to become a self-driving car engineer.” — Sebastian Thrun

This course will provide a conceptual overview of self-driving car technology, illustrated with the Apollo open-source self-driving car stack that Baidu is building.

Baidu has invested heavily in self-driving cars and has rapidly become an important player in the ecosystem. They are already testing vehicles on their Beijing campus.

Their vehicles come in all shapes and sizes. Some of Baidu’s vehicles look like Carla, Udacity’s very own self-driving car.

Carla!

But Baidu has 13 different types of self-driving vehicles, ranging from small cars to big trucks!

Beyond autonomous vehicles, Baidu has a world-leading artificial intelligence group. In their lobby I got to play with one of their robots, which talked, snapped my photo, and walked around with me.

The Baidu team was also kind enough to arrange and host an on-camera interview for me, with CSDN, a Chinese software developer network.

The most important part of the visit, however, were the ping-pong matches. I played two matches and went 1–1 in my first international ping-pong competition. No photos, you’ll have to take my word for it 🙂

Udacity’s Self-Driving European Tour

Taking Udacity’s Self-Driving Car Engineer Nanodegree program on the road in Europe to meet with students and partners!

Michael Ikemann (Udacity’s first Intro to Self-Driving Car Nanodegree graduate) and me

A few weeks ago, I had the delight of visiting Europe with Udacity’s Berlin-based European team, meeting both automotive partners and Udacity students. The trip was so much fun!

Stuttgart

We started in Stuttgart, where we met with our partners at Bosch and toured their Abstatt campus. Their campus reminds me of a plush Silicon Valley office, except instead of overlooking Highway 101, they overlook vineyards and a European castle.

Thanks to Udacity student Tolga Mert for organizing!

In the evening, Bosch’s Mirko Franke joined us at the Connected Autonomous Driving Meetup, organized by Udacity student Rainer Bariess.

We discussed the self-driving ecosystem and, of course, how to get a job working on self-driving cars at Bosch.

Berlin

The next day we headed to Berlin to prepare for our deep learning workshop at Automotive Tech.AD. What a great collection of autonomous vehicle engineers from companies across Europe!

In the evening we hosted a Meetup for current and prospective Udacity students at our Berlin office. It is always a delight to meet students and hear firsthand what they love about Udacity, and how they feel we can improve the student experience.

London

Our final stop was London, for an interview with Alan Martin at Alphr.

That evening, Udacity alumnus Brian Holt, Head of Autonomous Driving at Parkopedia, hosted us for at the London Self-Driving/Autonomous Car Technology Meetup. We had a blast talking about the future of self-driving (and even flying!) cars.

It’s a lot of fun to fly across the globe and see different places, but the best experience of all is getting to meet students from all different parts of the world.

We learn what our students are working on, what excites them about self-driving cars, and about the difference Udacity has made in their lives. It’s wonderful!

If you’re interested in becoming a part of our global Self-Driving Car community, consider enrolling in one of our Nanodegree programs. No matter your skills and experience, we’ve got a program for you!

https://www.udacity.com/course/intro-to-self-driving-cars–nd113https://www.udacity.com/course/intro-to-self-driving-cars–nd113

Ticketing Self-Driving Cars

A police officer pulled over a Cruise self-driving car in San Francisco recently, and issued a citation for failing to yield to a pedestrian in a crosswalk. Cruise disputes the citation, but since nobody was hurt, the interesting thing to me is that the safety operator got the ticket.

Knowing nothing about the actual interaction, I imagine the police officer writing the citation, caring not a whit about who or what was actually operating the vehicle, and walking off.

Longer-term, how does this work? Specifically, what happens when safety drivers are no longer in the vehicle.

Maybe officers will ticket passengers. That will get the vehicle owners’ attention quickly.

What if nobody is in the vehicle?

Routine traffic stops are one of the most common interactions between citizens and police in the United States. For many people, this is their only interaction with the police. As self-driving cars progress, we’re going to need to rethink interactions between police and the public.